There are still four weeks to go until the release of Marvel Studios’ Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania. Unbelievably, this is the first real challenger to emerge as a serious threat to Avatar: The Way Of Water and it’s vice-like grip on the #1 movie spot. The Avatar sequel has had a clear run at the box office, and has nearly a whole other month still to go unchallenged.

If early tracking is anything to go by, it will be challenged by Quantumania.

Quantumania

It will have the Presidents Day holiday weekend as it’s launchpad and preliminary box-office tracking, which uses a combination of social media impact, trailer view metrics and several days of pre-sales, says it shaping up to land well.

Box-Office Pro have estimated a $96-131 million opening weekend debut, domestic. This puts it into Spider-Man: No Way Home territory. The Ant-Man franchise has seen healthy returns on an upward trajectory. Opening weekends for the previous entries were $57.2 million for Ant-Man and $75.8 million for Ant-Man And The Wasp.

The feeling that the MCU was treading water with Phase 4, and this is Phase 5 properly getting underway, may be helping with the anticipation. The first look at the MCUs new lead villain, at least for the next couple of phases, is also a draw.

Thor: Love And Thunder proved that the MCU remains largely critic proof, but enthusiasm needs to remain among the fanbase, whatever the critics may say and this entry has that enthusiasm with it that was noticeably lacking around a lot of Phase 4.

Paul Rudd, Evangeline Lily, Michael Douglas, and Michelle Pfeiffer return alongside Jonathan Majors as Kang. Ant-Man And The Wasp: Quantumania opens on February 17th. The publicity tour starts within days so expect to see the stars everywhere very soon.

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